Coming from a science background I start with my sources.
Click http://news.sky.com/story/1096252/ukip-set-for-european-elections-success-poll to read this informative Sky poll.
Its Sky headline is, "UKIP Set For European Elections Success - Poll "
ComRes interviewed 2,003 GB adults online between May 22 and 24 for the poll. Data were weighted to be representative of British adults and politically weighted to past vote recall.
That's twice the usual sample size of 1000 so the results will be more reliable than usual. I quote the Sky commentary on these results below:
"The survey found that 27% of those certain to vote in the 2014 contest would support UKIP, with Labour on 23% and the Tories on 21%.
I would not disagree with any of that. The interesting bit is Cameron's renogiate policy has a lot of support. Not surprising given Joe Public will perceive it as the low risk. In fact its so low risk its impossible to deliver in any meanful way. Maybe Cameron might getback regulation on wheel tappers and shunters which Bob Crow will like but otherwise zilch.
UKIP has always had huge problems handling and accounting for money. That is the reason Farage arranged for me to be kicked off the NEC for asking questions about the source and destination of UKIP funds. Farage sees the NEC as there to rubber stamp his decisions and of course take the responsibility if things go wrong. I was not happy with that so I had to be got rid of.
I reproduce the relevant electoral commission table for Q1 2013 below.
Click on http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/155371/Q1-2013-donations-and-loans-summary-document.pdf
to read full details of party donations lodged with the electoral commision.
Party Donations excluding public funds Public funds Total accepted in Quarter one 2013
Party Donations Public funds Total
British National Party £32,000 £0 £32,000
Conservative and Unionist Party £3,663,024 £18,373 £3,681,397
Co-operative Party £412,973 £0 £412,973
Democracy 2015 £8,055 £0 £8,055
Green Party £23,110 £13,831 £36,941
Labour Party £3,681,486 £1,754,375 £5,435,861
Liberal Democrats £842,710 £8,730 £851,439
Plaid Cymru – The Party of Wales £18,511 £36,060 £54,572
Scottish National Party (SNP) £10,000 £42,971 £52,971
The Socialist Party of Great Britain £295,775 £0 £295,775
UK Independence Party (UK I P) £74,150 £0 £74,150
Total £9,061,794 £1,874,340 £10,936,134
Interesting. UKIP can only raise 25% of the Socialist party of Great Britain and around 18% of the Co-op, both of which presumably get large Union donations. Still £74k is barely going to cover Nigel's bodyguards. Money talks in politics something not lost on Red Ed who has more dosh than Dave! Now who would have thunk that as Mr Neil says.
Dave is working hard to rectify this as reported in today's DT City Diary. He is not going to hand over his City donors to Farage but these City slickers like to hedge their bets so NF will cop some dough, perhaps enough for another bodyguard.
The DT amusing entitles their piece by Harryet Dennys,
"A tale of Two Cities as PM steps up donors battle with UKIP ". Now as I recollect the story did not Sidney Carton take his friends place, the arsisto Charles Dannay, at the EU guilottine ending his final speech, "It is a far, far better thing that I do, than I have ever done; it is a far, far better rest that I go to than I have ever known."
The parallel is clear. Farage must take the place of the young aristo Dave at the electoral chopping block and go to the palace of red leather as his reward in heaven.