Lib Dems 6
Lord Ashcroft reports:
“A by-election two weeks after the European election means that Newark’s electors have enjoyed the prolonged attention of the parties, a privilege for which they must surely be grateful. The evidence from my poll is that the Tories have had the better of an intense ground war and have by no means taken the seat for granted. More than nine out of ten voters say they have heard from the Conservatives locally, including 81 per cent who have had literature through the door; nearly half have received personally addressed mail. Eight in ten say they have heard from UKIP; the party is reported to be slightly more active than Labour in all elements of the local campaign.
The poll was conducted in the week before polling day, and just under a fifth of voters say they may yet change their mind. Despite this, it looks clear that the next MP for Newark will be Robert Jenrick.”
So small earthquake in Newark, no Tories casualties.
Scarcely surprising after the selection of old Tory Helmer as candidate with all his political baggage. Why vote for an old Tory when you can have a young one?
UKIP's only chance was a charismatic clean skin like Diane James. Little effort seems to have been made to find such a person. A huge chance has been missed. Better one MP from this high visibility election than the dozen dodgy MEPs UKIP has got. Farage chose the latter for EU Euros. This shows he has no wish to get us out of the EU. Don't listen to what he says but look at what he does and always, always follow the money.