A good piece by Tim Montgomerie in today's Times reiterates the two points I have made on the Thanet South election. Firstly Farage will not win it with the academic run Election Forecast website making the Tories 95% certain to retain the seat. Secondly if other better UKIP candidates win say 5 seats then the UKIP power centre will shift to Westminster and Farage will have to resign as leader and take his selling platers like Nuttall and embarassments like Seymour with him. This will give UKIP a real chance to turn into a proper political party with decent spokesmen like Stephen Woolfe today on the Daily Politics who might be able to get us out of the EU.
That's Farage's dose of real politik but he has of course been an expensive serial loser of fptp elections these last 20 years so he will have his excuses well prepared.
The EU and the US have just woken up to the fact that all Putin has to do to take the Ukraine is turn off the gas. Its just like China's Hong Kong conquest just by turning off the water supply which Thatcher acknowledged was game set and match to the communists. That's the EU's dose of political reality.
If that was not enough Richard North in his blog today click below to read
Sure the Yanks have been stupid with their show of non force but read the description of Russia latest battle tank.
I quote from Richard's blog.
Developed by the Uralvagonzavod Research and Production Corporation, the tank version (T-14) sports an unmanned remotely controlled turret, armed with a brand new 125 mm 2A82-1M smoothbore gun. Its muzzle energy is greater than one of the world's previously considered best tank guns: the German Leopard-2 Rheinmetall 120mm.
Significantly, it is also equipped with a 30mm cannon capable of dealing with various targets, including low-flying helicopters, together with a 12.5 mm rotary machine gun, reportedly capable of taking out incoming projectiles, such as anti-tank missiles and even anti-tank shells at speeds approaching 3,000 meters per second. Presumably, it is equipped with sensors similar to those used in the Israeli Trophy system.
The Russians have already delivered 20 units for training purposes, but this is territory into which we do not want to venture. The UK is reliant on 20-year-old Challenger 2 tanks and the very last thing we need is an expensive re-equipment programme. Matching Russian capabilities could cost us billions.
Remember it was the Russians that in WWII produced a tank to defeat Hitler's Panzers! Putin has not forgotten.
I would be therefore stupid for us to get involved defending the UKraine, a war we cannot win like Afghanistan. Let us hope Red Ed knows his real politik!