Saturday, 18 September 2010

Tea Party brews trouble for UKIP

Inspired by the success of the American campaign activists at the coming Tory conference will hold a rally ostensibly to air criticism of Coalition policies but the hidden agenda will be to set up a Tea Party umbrella organisations to bring together the various right wing smaller government lower tax pressure groups like the Tax Payers Alliance and the Freedom Association.

This spells big trouble for UKIP as Daniel Hanaan, Tory MEP is expected to play a big part in making the tea and clearly smaller government fits rather nicely with leaving the EU. Farage's UKIP, is looking rather stale and a party incapable of delivering. Right wingers are frustrated and they are looking for something new and fresh. They will of course recruit largely from the ranks of disillusioned Tories many of whom are currently in UKIP. I expect it will recruit and run via Facebook and similar Internet Services at low cost and high penetration.

Worse for UKIP is that David Davies whom Dave defeated in the Tory leadership election, is on the fringes of this movement and may even speak at the fringe tea party. And there are a number of other Tory MPs on the fringes.

Cameron is worried and is scuppering plans for more 'Open Primaries' where genuinely local and independent PPCs may be selected like the GP lady in the South West. The Tories will retain control of the candidate list but for how long
In these circumstances UKIP needs a re-brand fast and that's not going to happen if Farage is returned as leader. Even with a new leader the tide may already have turned against UKIP. Farage and his Cabal have squandered UKIP's chances and I cannot see the British people giving them a third chance now an attractive and far more effective alternative is available.

It will of course leave the  EU protest vote under Tory control just like under Pearson. Plus ca change.. as the French say.

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