Who should UKIP put up as their candidate in Newark? Farage has ruled himself out. That's the smart thing to do. Farage has that great quality all leaders, luck! Cameron clearly upset Mercer along with many others and now its pay back time. So how can UKIP best capitalise on this stroke of good fortune? Farage certainly has a big part to play in this campaign supporting the chosen UKIP candidate. He is far more effective in that role.
The above is the line Farage is feeding to our uncritical, unthinking media. The real reason as it always is and I have described before with Farage is money. He makes a huge amount of money and fringe benefits like pensions from the EU for very little scrutiny. After May he will lead the largest national eurosceptic group in the European parliamement. He will then be able to set up and lead his pan - european party which will bring him even more dosh and fringe benefits from the EU with zero scrutiny from the UK media. After all if they cannot investigate Nigel in the UK how will they do it in Brussels?
Finally Farage does not want to be an MP. Its hard work, involves meeting ordinary people and runs the risk of scrutiny and is poorly paid and expensed compare to the no questions asked EU gravy train. Its a pity our great free press cannot see this. The truth is they don't want to see it as it would make more work and a less easy life for them.
Start by looking at who the Tories will put up and assess their strengths and weaknesses.
The Tory candidate is Rober Jenrick who has been working the constituency since selected. Click http://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Jenrick_Robert.aspx to read a brief bio of Mr Jenrick. He looks a very good candidate to me. Obviously clever but claims to have been, educated at state primary and Wolverhampton Grammar. Not quite what it seems. WGS is a fee paying school currently charging almost £12k pa at senior school. It also has a fee paying junior so which primary did Mr Jenrick. He went to Cambridge, got a first in history and then went on to qualify as a solictor. He is currently writing a book on Newark in the Civil War. He has a presentable looking wife and two young daughters so the only gay cavaliers will be in his book methinks. He currently works for Christies the London auction house so probably currently lives in London
So he is a professional, Oxbridge, white heterosexual male from the metropolitan elite who says if elected he will live in the constituency.
UKIP should be looking for a candidate who is none of these things. Ideal would be a self made, articulate comprehensive educated woman with a happy marriage and two or so children who has lived and worked in Newark for at least 5 years. Another Mrs James would do very well. I am not familiar with the constituency demographics but I can safely assert over half will be women.
There are two problems however. First, the obvious UKIP may not have such a woman which one can do little about. Second, Farage got the fright of his life when Mrs James almost won at Eastleigh. Another week of the campaign would have seen her victorious according to no less a person than my near neighbour Lord Paddy Pantsdown. If she had won or if the UKIP candidate wins in Newark then they immediately become defacto leader of UKIP in the UK. Farage will never allow that therefore he will take no chances and ensure a barely adequate candidate will be UKIP's choice for Newark. The local party will be told who to select and it won't be another Mrs James. That would be much to dangerous for Nigel!
It might even endanger Nigel's unfulfilled ambition of a seat on the red leather of the House of Lords. After another 5 years on the EU gravy train Nigel can retire to a comfy HoL billet and like Lord Ashdown appear over more frequently on UK TV as the great man of Euroscepticism.. He might even get his own TV chat show!